Semi-Markov approach to the shipping safety modelIing

Sambor Guze; Leszek Smolarek

doi:10.2478/v10174-011-0032-7

Authors

Sambor Guze Gdynia Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland Author
Leszek Smolarek Gdynia Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.2478/v10174-011-0032-7

Keywords:

navigational safety, semi-Markov process

Abstract

In the paper the navigational safety model of a ship on the open area has been studied under conditions of incomplete information. Moreover the structure of semi-Markov processes is used to analyse the stochastic ship safety according to the subjective acceptance of risk by the navigator. In addition, the navigator's behaviour can be analysed by using the numerical simulation to estimate the probability of collision in the safety model.

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http://www.prs.pl/pages/konferencje/safe shipping 2010/Panel discussion-23 04 2010.pdf