How to calculate the accident probability of dangerous substance transport

Authors

  • Pavel Fuchs Technical University of Liberec, Faculty of Mechatronics, Informatics and Interdisciplinary Studies, Studentsk´a 2, 461 17 Liberec, Czech Republic Author
  • Tomas Saska Technical University of Liberec, Faculty of Mechatronics, Informatics and Interdisciplinary Studies, Studentsk´a 2, 461 17 Liberec, Czech Republic Author
  • Radovan Sousek University of Pardubice, Jan Perner Transport Faculty, Studentsk´a 95, 532 10 Pardubice, Czech Republic Author
  • David Valis University of Defence, Faculty of Military Technologies, Kounicova 65, 662 10 Brno, Czech Republic Author

Keywords:

risk assessment, road transport, dangerous substance transport

Abstract

Currently the risk assessment of dangerous substances manipulation and transportation is a frequent topic in scientific groups. It exist many themes from this area, which are discussed at conferences and scientific events. One of these topics is surely the calculation of accident probability of dangerous substance transport. The following paper describes the procedure of the accident probability calculation of dangerous substance road transportation. The next aim of this paper is to show, what uncertainties may be contained in such as calculation procedure. And finally, which parameters should be collected for complex accident risk assessment of dangerous substance road transport.

References

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Crowl D.A., Louvar J.F.: Chemical process Safety: Fundamentals with Application, PTR Prentice Prentice - Hall, Inc. A. Simon & Schuster Company, Englewood Cliffts, New Jersey 1990.

Guidelines for Quantitative Risk Risk Assessment, (Purple book). Committee for the Prevention of Disasters (CPR), Directorate - General of Labour of the Ministry of Social Affairs. The Hague, 1999. CPR 18E.

Methods for the calculation of physical effects resulting from releases of hazardous materials (liquids and gases), (Yellow Book). Third Edition, second print. Committee for the Prevention of Disasters (CPR), Directorate - General of Labour of the Ministry of Social Affairs. The Hague, 2005. CPR 14E.

Mitchel A.: The ESRI Guide to GIS Analysis, Volume 2: Spatial Measurements & Statistics. Redlands, California, United States of America: ESRI Press, 2005. ISBN 978-1-58948-116-9.

Soušek R. et al.: Transport and crisis management. 260 p., IJP, Pardubice 2010, ISBN 978-80-86530-64-2.

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Published

2012-09-30

Issue

Section

Original articles

How to Cite

Fuchs, P., Saska, T., Sousek, R., & Valis, D. (2012). How to calculate the accident probability of dangerous substance transport. Archives of Transport, 24(3), 274-284. https://archivesoftransport.com/index.php/aot/article/view/541

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